Rebar Historical Replay: 2024-07 to 2025-01
Replay 116 daily bars of US rebar from July 2024 through January 2025, capturing an 11.6% peak drawdown as policy shifted. Step through 20 decision points day-by-day in a simulated environment and receive an AI coach review of your historical choices.
116 daily bars · 20 decision points · 2024-07 to 2025-01 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 171 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 11.6% and a 16.4% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −11.6%
- Max run-up
- +16.4%
- Duration
- 171 days
- Largest single-day move
- +6.3%
- Bars
- 116 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 20
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The replay places you in the US rebar market during a pivotal policy transition, spanning 2024-07-22 to 2025-01-09. In the 2020s, monetary policy shifts drive commodity cycles, and the Federal Reserve's September rate cut—pushing the dollar lower—altered the landscape for steel-related inputs. You face 20 decision points, 7 of them critical, as macro signals and market prices evolve day by day.
The closing price fell from 3451 to 3205, a decline of -7.1%. The journey was turbulent: the market hit an 11.6% maximum drawdown, and the largest single trading day moved 6.3%. These are not hypothetical scenarios but the actual recorded volatility that traders navigated during this period.
Walking through this historical sequence trains you to hold process steady when outcomes turn against you. The -7.1% net result, the 11.6% drawdown, and the 6.3% intraday spike all test whether your risk framework survives policy-driven whipsaws. Seven critical decision nodes force you to choose with incomplete information, building the psychological resilience that distinguishes disciplined traders from reactive ones.