Rebar Historical Replay: 2022-11 to 2023-05
Replay the 2022-11 to 2023-05 rebar boom across 118 daily bars showing an 18.2% drawdown and 3.0% single-bar swings. You step through each session, face 21 decision points, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
118 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2022-11 to 2023-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 177 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 18.2% and a 19.1% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −18.2%
- Max run-up
- +19.1%
- Duration
- 177 days
- Largest single-day move
- +3.0%
- Bars
- 118 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In late 2022, ferrous markets faced a pivotal transition as infrastructure demand shifted under evolving economic signals. The rebar contract, a benchmark for construction activity, entered a complex period where green infrastructure themes clashed with traditional demand cycles. Participants tracking this 2020s episode were tasked with navigating a market where every session could pivot from calm to turbulent without warning.
Over the 118 trading days from 2022-11-21 to 2023-05-17, rebar delivered a deceptively flat outcome: the close moved from 3671 to 3715, a mere 1.2% gain. Yet this headline number concealed significant turbulence beneath the surface. The market experienced a maximum drawdown of 18.2%, and individual daily bars swings reached 3.0%, creating an environment where directional conviction could be severely tested.
This scenario distills the core tension between patience and adaptation. With 21 decision points scattered across the replay, 7 of them flagged as critical, participants confronted the fundamental challenge of ferrous trading: maintaining process discipline when the daily noise overwhelms the signal. The episode reinforces that surviving 18.2% drawdowns and 3.0% intraday spikes requires not prediction, but robust risk calibration and emotional equilibrium under sustained uncertainty.