Hot-rolled Coil Historical Replay: 2022-11 to 2023-05
Replay the 2022-11 to 2023-05 hot-rolled coil window of 118 daily bars, where prices shifted just 0.5% yet absorbed an 18.5% drawdown. Step through every session, tackle 21 decision points, and let the AI coach grade your calls in this simulated educational drill.
118 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2022-11 to 2023-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 177 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 18.5% and a 19.0% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −18.5%
- Max run-up
- +19.0%
- Duration
- 177 days
- Largest single-day move
- +3.7%
- Bars
- 118 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
This scenario replays the hot-rolled coil market from November 2022 to May 2023, a period of 118 daily bars spanning the 2020s. Hot-rolled coil is a cornerstone steel product driving construction and manufacturing, and this window arrived amid shifting global industrial sentiment. Participants confront 21 decision points, 7 of them critical, navigating price action in real time without the benefit of hindsight.
Over the data span from 2022-11-21 to 2023-05-17, prices drifted a mere 0.5% from 3756 to 3775. Yet this apparently flat outcome concealed a turbulent journey, with an 18.5% maximum drawdown cutting through the period. The largest single-bar move hit 3.7%, revealing how sharp intraday swings can stress even the most patient approach despite a net negligible shift.
The replay teaches that sideways markets demand disciplined risk control and psychological resilience. The gap between minimal net change and severe interim losses challenges participants to judge decisions by process rather than outcome alone. Navigating false breakouts, sizing positions against volatile swings, and avoiding emotional capitulation become the true curriculum. This educational drill hones the ability to survive periods where the market gives nothing yet takes plenty, building the habits that matter when directional trends finally emerge.