Iron Ore Historical Replay: 2021-03 to 2021-06
Relive the 58-day iron ore shock from March to June 2021, when prices swung 9.6% in a single bar and suffered a 25.6% drawdown. Step through each daily bar, make decisions at 4 critical checkpoints, and receive an AI coach review in this simulated training environment.
58 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2021-03 to 2021-06 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 88 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 25.6% and a 37.7% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −25.6%
- Max run-up
- +37.7%
- Duration
- 88 days
- Largest single-day move
- −9.6%
- Bars
- 58 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The iron ore market in the early 2020s faced one of its most volatile stretches from March to June 2021. Over 58 daily bars, participants navigated a commodity shock that demanded both analytical precision and emotional steadiness. The stakes were high: supply disruptions and demand uncertainty created an environment where even a well-reasoned position could be tested by violent intraday reversals. Traders had to decide when to hold, when to adjust, and when to step aside, all while the market oscillated between fear and momentum.
The price journey from 1067.5 to 1121 delivered a modest 5.0% gain—yet that figure masks the turmoil within. The maximum drawdown reached 25.6%, and the largest single-bar move hit 9.6%, meaning a single session could wipe out weeks of careful positioning. Across the period, 11 decision points emerged, with 4 deemed critical checkpoints that required traders to reassess their thesis and risk exposure in real time.
This historical replay teaches that surviving extreme volatility requires more than a directional view. Process discipline—sticking to pre-defined rules when emotions run hot—becomes the true edge. Position sizing decisions made before the storm determine whether a 25.6% drawdown becomes a manageable dip or a career-defining loss. The psychological dimension is equally vital: the ability to act deliberately rather than reactively when a 9.6% bar moves against you separates skilled practitioners from impulsive gamblers. This scenario offers a rigorous training ground for building exactly that composure.
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