Coking Coal Historical Replay: 2021-03 to 2021-06
Coking coal surged 25.1% from a close of 1549 to 1937.5 over 58 daily bars ending 2021-06-21. Replay this commodity shock day by day, navigate 4 critical decision points, and receive AI coach feedback in a simulated educational environment.
58 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2021-03 to 2021-06 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 88 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 19.4% and a 36.3% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −19.4%
- Max run-up
- +36.3%
- Duration
- 88 days
- Largest single-day move
- +7.8%
- Bars
- 58 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In the first quarter of 2021, coking coal—a critical input for steel production—entered a period of heightened volatility. This historical replay spans 58 trading days, from 2021-03-25 through 2021-06-21, capturing an acute commodity shock episode. Participants face the challenge of navigating this high-stakes environment without the benefit of hindsight, making decisions in real-time as market conditions shifted. The historical context here is rooted in the early 2020s, when global supply chain disruptions and fluctuating demand created significant uncertainty across industrial commodity markets.
The market moved from a closing price of 1549 to 1937.5—a substantial 25.1% gain over the 58-bar period. Yet this trajectory was far from linear; a maximum drawdown of 19.4% tested the resolve of any position holder, and occasional sharp reversals forced quick recalibration of strategies. The largest single-day swing reached 7.8%, underscoring the volatility inherent in commodity markets during supply disruptions. Participants encountered 11 decision points across the dataset, with 4 designated as critical junctures where directional conviction and risk management were most severely examined.
This replay teaches that disciplined process matters more than outcome prediction. Managing a 19.4% drawdown requires emotional regulation and position sizing discipline, while navigating 7.8% intraday moves demands both tactical flexibility and a clearly defined execution framework. The gap between recognizing a structural shift in commodity markets and maintaining conviction through turbulent price action reveals the psychological dimension of trading under uncertainty. The coking coal rally illustrates how sustained momentum and significant reversals can coexist—teaching participants to separate signal from noise while building resilience against the psychological pressures of volatile markets.
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