Coking Coal Historical Replay: 2020-09 to 2020-12
Replay 74 daily bars of US coking coal from 2020-09-04 to 2020-12-24, watching price climb 26.9% from 1281.5 to 1626. Step into 13 decision points including 5 critical moments, make your call each day, and receive an AI coach review in this simulated historical exercise.
74 daily bars · 13 decision points · 2020-09 to 2020-12 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 111 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 7.0% and a 35.3% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −7.0%
- Max run-up
- +35.3%
- Duration
- 111 days
- Largest single-day move
- +6.3%
- Bars
- 74 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 13
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The replay transports you to US coking coal markets during the final quarter of 2020, a period shadowed by the ongoing pandemic. As industrial demand fluctuated and supply chains remained disrupted, traders faced an environment where commodity prices swung sharply in response to shifting economic signals. This 74-day window from September 4 to December 24, 2020 represented a critical inflection point for ferrous markets, where the direction of prices was far from certain. The scenario presents you with 13 decision points—5 of them critical—testing your ability to read momentum and manage exposure through a volatile stretch.
Over the course of the replay, coking coal prices climbed from 1281.5 to 1626, delivering a 26.9% return for those positioned correctly. Yet the journey was anything but smooth: the market experienced a maximum drawdown of 7.0%, and single sessions could swing as much as 6.3%, demanding constant recalibration of risk parameters. These sharp intraday reversals separated disciplined practitioners from reactive ones, rewarding those who maintained conviction through temporary setbacks while remaining nimble enough to capture emerging trends.
This historical exercise hones decision-making under uncertainty. You must calibrate position sizing against the 7.0% drawdown risk, recognize when conviction outweighs short-term noise, and distinguish between routine fluctuations and regime changes. The 5 critical decision points serve as stress tests for your process and psychology—moments where emotion could override analysis or hesitation could cost opportunity. Mastering this scenario means building the habits that translate into resilience across any market era.