Coking Coal Historical Replay: 2020-07 to 2020-11
Replay 86 daily bars of US coking coal from July to November 2020, capturing a 9.3% close rise amid pandemic volatility. You step through each decision point in this simulated historical scenario and receive an AI coach review of your choices.
86 daily bars · 15 decision points · 2020-07 to 2020-11 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 127 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 4.9% and a 14.6% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −4.9%
- Max run-up
- +14.6%
- Duration
- 127 days
- Largest single-day move
- +3.9%
- Bars
- 86 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 15
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The United States coking coal market entered the second half of 2020 in extraordinary conditions. As the global pandemic continued to reshape industrial demand, commodity traders faced a complex landscape of uncertainty, with supply chains disrupted and manufacturing activity fluctuating. This scenario recreates 86 daily bars of price action from July 2 to November 6, 2020—a period when every trading decision carried significant weight in determining whether participants could navigate volatility or be caught off-guard by sudden moves.
Over the five-month span, coking coal futures closed at 1193 on the first day and finished at 1304 on the last—a gain of 9.3%. Yet this seemingly straightforward upward trajectory was anything but smooth. The market experienced a maximum drawdown of 4.9% and a largest single-bar move of 3.9%, meaning traders had to weather multiple episodes of sharp reversal and intraday turbulence. Fifteen distinct decision points were embedded in this period, with five deemed critical for positioning outcomes.
This replay teaches that surviving volatility requires disciplined process rather than directional conviction alone. The 4.9% drawdown reminds us that even favorable trends exact psychological costs, and the 3.9% single-bar spikes highlight how quickly sentiment can shift. Trainees must practice sizing positions to endure drawdowns without panic, and develop the emotional resilience to act decisively at the five critical junctures—where a single decision could meaningfully alter cumulative performance.