Hot-rolled Coil Historical Replay: 2020-06 to 2020-09
Replay the 2020-06-04 to 2020-09-07 hot-rolled coil session, where close climbed 10.8% from 3487 to 3864. Step through 66 daily bars, tackle 12 decision points with the AI coach, and sharpen your ferrous trading instincts in pure simulation.
66 daily bars · 12 decision points · 2020-06 to 2020-09 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 95 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 4.3% and a 15.8% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −4.3%
- Max run-up
- +15.8%
- Duration
- 95 days
- Largest single-day move
- −2.3%
- Bars
- 66 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 12
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The summer of 2020 found China's hot-rolled coil market at a crossroads. Between June and September, the ferrous complex was navigating post-pandemic recovery dynamics, where demand signals were mixed and volatility was elevated. This 66-daily-bar session captures a period when industrial metals were transitioning from lockdown lows toward renewed optimism, setting the stage for a notable V-shaped reversal in the black metals complex.
The numbers tell a story of sustained recovery under pressure. Prices climbed from 3487 to 3864, delivering a 10.8% gain over the session. The journey was far from smooth—maximum drawdown reached 4.3%, and the largest single-bar move hit 2.3%, reminding traders that even trending markets punish complacency. Navigating 12 decision points, including 4 critical junctures, required traders to constantly reassess positioning and risk exposure throughout this volatile recovery phase.
This replay session distills the core challenges of ferrous trading during uncertain transitions. The moderate overall drawdown tests discipline in holding positions through temporary setbacks. The concentrated volatility moments demand clear pre-trade plans for managing sudden price swings. Perhaps most importantly, the V-shaped recovery pattern forces traders to balance conviction in the underlying trend against the psychological difficulty of trusting a rebound that initially lacks clear confirmation. These are the skills that separate systematic decision-makers from reactive traders.
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