Coking Coal Historical Replay: 2020-05 to 2020-08
Replay 64 daily bars of US ferrous markets from May 7 to August 6, 2020, capturing a 12.0% close-to-close rise. You make 11 decision points through the simulated timeline and receive an AI coach review of your choices.
64 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2020-05 to 2020-08 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 91 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 2.5% and a 14.5% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −2.5%
- Max run-up
- +14.5%
- Duration
- 91 days
- Largest single-day move
- +3.1%
- Bars
- 64 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The spring of 2020 found commodity markets at a crossroads. After the viral disruptions of early year, US ferrous markets began stabilizing in May as industrial activity resumed across major economies. Coking coal, a critical input for steel production, was caught in this tentative recovery — investors and traders faced the classic challenge of distinguishing sustainable rebounds from dead-cat bounces in a world still learning to function amid pandemic restrictions.
From May 7 to August 6, 2020, the market delivered a clean 12.0% appreciation, closing at 1219.5 from an opening of 1088.5. The journey across 64 daily bars proved remarkably steady for a boom scenario — maximum drawdown held at just 2.5% and the largest single-bar move measured only 3.1%. This created 11 decision points where participants had to act, four of which were critical junctures requiring clear directional conviction.
This replay is valuable precisely because it lacks obvious drama. The 12.0% gain was not the product of a single catalyzing event but the cumulative result of sustained momentum, which means participants could not rely on clear-cut news triggers to justify positioning. The lesson for decision training is that disciplined process — knowing your entry criteria, your risk tolerance, and your exit logic — matters most when the market offers no exciting crashes or parabolic surges to make decisions feel urgent. Maintaining composure through 11 decision points across a volatile era like the 2020s is where trading edge is either built or eroded.
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