Hot-rolled Coil Historical Replay: 2020-01 to 2020-06
Replay 86 daily bars of Chinese hot-rolled coil from January through early June 2020, capturing a steep 16.0% drawdown. Step through the crisis day-by-day, face 15 decision points, and receive AI coach feedback in this simulated educational scenario.
86 daily bars · 15 decision points · 2020-01 to 2020-06 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 133 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 16.0% and a 19.2% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −16.0%
- Max run-up
- +19.2%
- Duration
- 133 days
- Largest single-day move
- −7.8%
- Bars
- 86 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 15
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Chinese hot-rolled coil steel entered 2020 as a cornerstone of the nation\'s industrial economy. From late January through early June 2020, this ferrous market faced its most severe stress test since the global financial crisis. The novel coronavirus pandemic was reshaping global supply chains and crushing demand expectations. Eighty-six daily trading sessions would determine who could adapt and who would capitulate.
The price trajectory encapsulated the chaos of the era. Starting at 3,569 and closing at 3,525, the period registered a seemingly modest -1.2% net decline. Yet this headline number concealed violent internal volatility. The market suffered a maximum drawdown of 16.0%, with a single session delivering a 7.8% swing. Participants confronted 15 decision points across the replay, including 5 critical junctures where positioning decisions carried outsized consequences.
This replay distills why process matters more than outcomes. A 16.0% drawdown tests risk management frameworks and forces honest assessment of position sizing, stop discipline, and correlation assumptions. The 7.8% intraday shock reveals how panic and euphoria distort perception during crisis periods. Fifteen decision points create repeated opportunities to examine whether you are trading a coherent thesis or simply reacting to noise. The pandemic backdrop adds a layer of uncertainty that standard historical analysis cannot replicate, making this scenario invaluable for developing psychological resilience alongside analytical rigor.
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