Coke Historical Replay: 2016-05 to 2016-09
Replay the 2016 ferrous market as 72 daily bars climb from 818 to 1273, an 55.6% swing shaped by Brexit-era volatility. Step into 13 decision points, navigate the swings, and get an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
72 daily bars · 13 decision points · 2016-05 to 2016-09 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 103 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 8.0% and a 56.1% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −8.0%
- Max run-up
- +56.1%
- Duration
- 103 days
- Largest single-day move
- +6.6%
- Bars
- 72 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 13
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In the summer of 2016, the ferrous market faced extraordinary uncertainty as Britain prepared for its historic Brexit referendum. Over five months spanning May 25 to September 5, traders navigated 72 daily bars while global investors weighed the implications of a potential British exit from the European Union. The market backdrop combined geopolitical anxiety with commodity sector volatility, setting the stage for significant price swings.
The price trajectory tells the story of that volatile period: coke futures surged from 818 to 1273, delivering a remarkable 55.6% gain. Yet the path was far from smooth, with an 8.0% maximum drawdown testing the resolve of even seasoned traders. A single day's move could swing as much as 6.6%, underscoring the intense intraday turbulence characterizing this market environment.
This historical episode serves as a rich training ground for decision-makers. Participants face 13 decision points, 5 of which are critical, mirroring real-world moments where conviction and risk management collide. The scenario demands disciplined process—position sizing, stop-loss logic, conviction scaling—while confronting the psychological toll of sudden swings. Trainees learn to separate signal from noise, maintain equilibrium under pressure, and avoid the trap of reactive decision-making that historical data reveals as costly.