Iron Ore Historical Replay: 2015-11 to 2016-05
Replay 118 daily bars across a brutal iron ore drawdown of 23.4%. You make 21 decision points, including 7 critical ones, while an AI coach reviews your simulated trades.
118 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2015-11 to 2016-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 175 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 23.4% and a 66.9% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −23.4%
- Max run-up
- +66.9%
- Duration
- 175 days
- Largest single-day move
- −10.0%
- Bars
- 118 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In late 2015, iron ore entered one of its most turbulent periods. The commodity faced mounting pressure from slowing Chinese steel demand, mounting inventory overhang, and growing concerns about the health of China's economy. For traders and risk managers navigating ferrous markets, this six-month window from November 2015 to May 2016 represented a true stress test of conviction and capital discipline. The title reference to January 2016 panic signals the emotional intensity that would characterize this era.
The price trajectory tells a stark story of survival. Despite closing the period at 363, up 8.8% from the starting 333.5, the journey was brutal. The market experienced a maximum drawdown of 23.4%—a decline that would have tested even seasoned traders' risk management protocols. A single session saw a 10.0% move, highlighting the extreme volatility that defined this market. Across 118 daily bars, players confronted 21 decision points, with 7 deemed critical.
This scenario distills the essence of crisis trading: the outcome may be positive, but the process determines survival. A 23.4% drawdown before a recovery teaches that short-term losses and long-term gains coexist. The 10.0% single-bar spike reminds us that volatility clusters. Decision training here focuses not on predicting direction but on building the discipline to act systematically when fear peaks. The goal is muscle memory for risk control under pressure, not market timing.
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