Coking Coal Historical Replay: 2015-11 to 2016-05
Replay 118 turbulent daily bars of coking coal from 2015-11 to 2016-05, where prices swung 10.5% in a single session. You will step through every decision point in this historical crisis and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
118 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2015-11 to 2016-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 178 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 18.9% and a 65.7% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −18.9%
- Max run-up
- +65.7%
- Duration
- 178 days
- Largest single-day move
- −10.5%
- Bars
- 118 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The Chinese coking coal market entered a period of extraordinary turbulence from November 2015 to May 2016. For commodity traders and industrial participants, this represented a critical test of risk management and decision-making under pressure. The market's sharp movements demanded careful navigation of price swings that could quickly erode or build positions.
Prices ultimately climbed from 545 to 685.5, a 25.8% gain over the period. Yet this headline figure obscures the underlying volatility—the market experienced an 18.9% maximum drawdown and moved as much as 10.5% in a single session. Across 118 trading days, traders faced 21 distinct decision points, with 7 deemed critical moments that could significantly alter portfolio outcomes. The scale and frequency of these inflection points underscore how quickly market dynamics can shift.
For those training their market judgment, this episode offers a rich laboratory. Participants must practice defining acceptable risk parameters, adhering to disciplined position management, and maintaining psychological equilibrium when faced with violent intraday swings. The gap between knowing a trend direction and surviving its volatility separates theoretical analysis from practical execution. This replay challenges traders to bridge that gap through repeated, consequence-free practice.
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