Coking Coal Historical Replay: 2015-07 to 2015-12
Replay the 2015 coking coal slide where prices fell from 674 to 525, a 22.1% drop marked by a 26.7% drawdown. Walk through each authentic trading day, tackle 19 decision points, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
106 daily bars · 19 decision points · 2015-07 to 2015-12 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 157 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 26.7% and a 6.3% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −26.7%
- Max run-up
- +6.3%
- Duration
- 157 days
- Largest single-day move
- −10.5%
- Bars
- 106 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 19
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In mid-2015, Chinese commodity markets faced extraordinary stress as broader financial turbulence swept through the economy. Coking coal, a critical steelmaking input, became a focal point of this upheaval. The period from July to December 2015 coincided with mounting concerns over China's growth trajectory, a surprise yuan devaluation in August, and shifting monetary policy expectations that rippled across hard commodity markets. Participants entering this replay would have encountered a market where fundamental assumptions were being rapidly reassessed.
The coking coal contract traced a steep descent across 106 trading days, declining from 674 to 525 for a total loss of 22.1%. The journey proved more turbulent than the headline figure suggests, with maximum drawdown reaching 26.7% and individual sessions moving as much as 10.5%. This created 19 decision points where traders confronted choices about position sizing, risk management, and directional conviction, including 7 particularly critical junctures where the trajectory could have shifted significantly. The persistent downward pressure tested every participant's ability to manage risk while maintaining discipline.
This replay strips away the safety net of hindsight to reveal how decision-making actually unfolds under sustained pressure. The 26.7% drawdown reminds us how quickly paper losses can become psychologically overwhelming, forcing honest assessment of risk tolerance. Large single-bar moves of 10.5% expose the danger of anchoring to entry prices rather than adapting to evolving market conditions. With 19 decision points embedded across the period, traders must practice distinguishing between temporary dislocations and fundamental trend changes. The 7 critical moments offer concentrated practice in maintaining process discipline when emotions run high, a skill that transfers far beyond this specific commodity or timeframe.