Hot-rolled Coil Historical Replay: 2015-07 to 2015-12
Relive a 108-day hot-rolled coil replay where prices slid 20.7% amid 2015 policy turbulence. Step through each bar, tackle 19 decision points, and receive AI coach feedback in a fully simulated educational environment.
108 daily bars · 19 decision points · 2015-07 to 2015-12 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 158 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 23.4% and a 6.8% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −23.4%
- Max run-up
- +6.8%
- Duration
- 158 days
- Largest single-day move
- −4.6%
- Bars
- 108 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 19
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Hot-rolled coil, a fundamental steel input, encountered turbulent conditions in the second half of 2015. The market navigated through a period marked by policy uncertainty and macroeconomic concerns in China. The replay spans from July 2 to December 7, 2015, covering 108 trading days during which 19 decision points emerged, including 7 critical junctures that tested participants' analytical rigor under pressure.
Prices declined from 2197 to 1742, a fall of 20.7% over the period. The market experienced a maximum drawdown of 23.4%, with the largest single-bar move reaching 4.6%. These figures illustrate the sustained downward pressure and episodic volatility that characterized this era, where policy signals and economic data releases could trigger sharp intraday reactions.
This replay trains participants to manage positions through a prolonged bear phase while maintaining disciplined risk controls. Navigating a 23.4% drawdown requires emotional composure and a clear process for reassessing exposure when the trend remains adverse. The 4.6% single-day moves underscore the importance of position sizing and stop-loss discipline. By confronting these challenges in a simulated environment, learners can develop sharper instincts for reading policy cues, managing volatility, and avoiding common psychological traps during high-stress market episodes.