Natural Gas Historical Replay: 2024-11 to 2025-05
Replay 122 daily bars of natural gas from 2024-11-15 to 2025-05-13, with prices climbing 29.4% amid 34.7% drawdowns. Step through the era decision by decision, tackle 7 critical forks, and receive an AI coach review of each simulated choice.
122 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2024-11 to 2025-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 179 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 34.7% and a 59.2% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −34.7%
- Max run-up
- +59.2%
- Duration
- 179 days
- Largest single-day move
- −13.8%
- Bars
- 122 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The replay opens on a natural gas market navigating the final weeks of 2024, when policy uncertainty and dollar volatility began reshaping energy prices. Over the next six months, from November 2024 to May 2025, 122 daily bars capture a market caught between supply concerns and macroeconomic headwinds. Participants face the task of reading policy signals while managing positions through a period where the rules of engagement shifted repeatedly.
The numbers tell a story of conviction tested by volatility. Prices climbed from 2.82 to 3.65, delivering a net gain of 29.4%—yet this outcome was anything but smooth. The journey included a maximum drawdown of 34.7%, meaning peak-to-trough losses far exceeded the final return. The largest single trading day moved 13.8%, underscoring how policy announcements could instantly overwhelm fundamental analysis. Across 21 decision points, including 7 critical forks, every entry and exit carried the weight of systemic uncertainty.
For decision training, this replay exposes the psychological toll of volatility. A 34.7% drawdown will challenge any trader's discipline, yet the 29.4% final return proves that directional conviction, paired with sound risk management, can survive extended drawdown periods. The 13.8% single-bar swings teach that position sizing must account for tail risk. Participants learn to separate outcome from process, recognizing that surviving volatility is a prerequisite for capturing trend moves.
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