Natural Gas Historical Replay: 2020-04 to 2020-07
Replay 62 daily bars of US natural gas from April 8 to July 7, 2020, when prices climbed 5.6% amid a 30.5% drawdown and a 14.0% single-day swing. Step through each decision point, commit your calls, and receive an AI coach review in this simulated educational replay.
62 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2020-04 to 2020-07 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 90 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 30.5% and a 33.1% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −30.5%
- Max run-up
- +33.1%
- Duration
- 90 days
- Largest single-day move
- +14.0%
- Bars
- 62 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In the spring of 2020, the US natural gas market entered a period of extraordinary turbulence. From April 8 to July 7, traders and analysts navigated a landscape reshaped by shifting demand patterns, storage dynamics, and weather uncertainties. The market offered both peril and opportunity, demanding disciplined decision-making under pressure as participants sought to capture directional moves while managing exposure to sudden reversals.
The 62 daily bars that followed produced a net climb of just 5.6%, from 1.78 to 1.88, yet this modest headline gain masked a volatile journey. The maximum drawdown reached 30.5%, meaning positions could have faced substantial unrealized losses before recovering. The market also delivered a 14.0% single-day swing, underscoring the kind of intraday dislocation that tests even well-prepared participants. Four of the eleven decision points were deemed critical, moments when the margin for error compressed significantly.
This scenario trains participants to confront the gap between outcomes and process. A 5.6% gain sounds modest, but capturing it required surviving a 30.5% trough without abandoning strategy or accumulating excessive risk. The 14.0% single-bar move illustrates how volatility itself becomes a psychological adversary. Decision training here focuses on position sizing discipline, drawdown tolerance, and the emotional composure to act thoughtfully when markets move violently against established positions.
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