Heating Oil Historical Replay: 2020-05 to 2020-08
Replay 66 daily bars of heating oil's 26.3% climb from 0.99 to 1.25 between May and August 2020. Walk through 12 decision points, including 4 critical ones, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated calls.
66 daily bars · 12 decision points · 2020-05 to 2020-08 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 95 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 6.8% and a 37.6% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −6.8%
- Max run-up
- +37.6%
- Duration
- 95 days
- Largest single-day move
- +7.5%
- Bars
- 66 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 12
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The spring of 2020 found energy markets in disarray as the pandemic crushed transportation and industrial demand. Heating oil, a staple of northeastern winter supply chains, had already endured extreme volatility earlier in the year. From May through August, the commodity entered a new phase: a sustained recovery that would test the patience and discipline of any trader watching the charts. This 66-bar replay captures that inflection, giving participants a chance to replay history with live decisions rather than hindsight.
Between May 21 and August 24, 2020, heating oil climbed from 0.99 to 1.25, a gain of 26.3% over roughly three months. The path was far from straight: the largest single-bar move reached 7.5%, and the maximum drawdown along the way hit 6.8%. Participants navigated 12 decision points, with 4 flagged as critical moments where directional conviction mattered most. Each bar in this replay corresponds to a real trading day, making the simulation grounded in the authentic rhythm of the market.
For decision training, this replay is a masterclass in managing a volatile uptrend. A 26.3% gain sounds straightforward on paper, but the 7.5% single-bar swings and the 6.8% drawdown expose the psychological strain of staying positioned through noise. Traders must practice sizing, stop discipline, and the humility to revise theses when data conflicts. AI coach review of each simulated call turns the experience into structured feedback, reinforcing the habits that separate disciplined process from guesswork.
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