Natural Gas Historical Replay: 2020-02 to 2020-05
Replay 64 daily bars of US natural gas from Feb 5 to May 6, 2020, when prices slid toward a 21.7% drawdown. Step through each session, weigh four critical decision points, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
64 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2020-02 to 2020-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 91 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 21.7% and a 37.4% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −21.7%
- Max run-up
- +37.4%
- Duration
- 91 days
- Largest single-day move
- +9.7%
- Bars
- 64 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
This replay captures US natural gas market dynamics during the early pandemic period. Participants navigate a 64-day window spanning February 5, 2020 to May 6, 2020, a timeframe when global health concerns began reshaping energy demand patterns and creating extraordinary uncertainty across commodity exchanges. The scenario immerses traders in conditions where established market assumptions were suddenly questioned, forcing rapid reassessment of positions and risk exposure.
The period delivered a 4.3% closing appreciation from 1.86 to 1.94, yet this seemingly modest outcome obscures the violent journey between. Natural gas plunged toward a 21.7% drawdown during the traversal, with single sessions moving as dramatically as 9.7%. Eleven distinct decision points punctuated the replay, four of which the scenario flags as critical junctures where directional conviction and capital preservation collided most acutely.
The episode distills essential lessons about process discipline under duress. Participants confront the psychological challenge of maintaining analytical objectivity when headlines amplify fear and optimism in equal measure. The scenario trains recognition that drawdowns, even severe ones like 21.7%, are recoverable; what matters is whether decisions align with a coherent risk framework. Reviewing AI coach assessments of simulated choices at each critical point reveals where emotional reactions deviated from systematic planning, reinforcing that survival in volatile markets depends less on predicting direction than on managing exposure when uncertainty peaks.
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