WTI Crude Oil Historical Replay: 2018-06 to 2018-09
Relive a 12.3% drawdown in WTI crude across 68 turbulent daily bars ending September 2018. Replay each session, navigate 12 decision points, and receive an AI coach review in this simulated historical market exercise.
68 daily bars · 12 decision points · 2018-06 to 2018-09 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 97 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 12.3% and a 13.1% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −12.3%
- Max run-up
- +13.1%
- Duration
- 97 days
- Largest single-day move
- −5.0%
- Bars
- 68 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 12
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The WTI crude oil market in mid-2018 presented traders with a complex landscape of geopolitical tensions, OPEC supply dynamics, and shifting global demand signals. Between June 20 and September 25, 2018, 68 daily bars would test the resolve of anyone managing exposure to energy markets. This replay captures a period where the 2010s energy sector faced heightened uncertainty, with decision-makers needing to balance macro trends against sudden momentum shifts.
Over these 68 trading sessions, WTI crude moved from 66.22 to 72.28, representing a 9.2% net gain. However, the journey was far from smooth—participants endured a maximum drawdown of 12.3% and faced the largest single-bar move of 5.0%, creating moments where conviction was severely tested. The discrepancy between final outcome and interim pain underscores why passive holding often fails as a strategy during volatile stretches.
This scenario offers a rigorous training ground for decision-makers confronting the intersection of trend-following and mean-reversion. The 12 decision points, including 4 critical junctures, mirror real-world moments where position sizing, stop-loss discipline, and emotional control determine survival. Participants learn that surviving a 12.3% drawdown requires not just analytical skill but the psychological resilience to endure temporary losses without abandoning sound process. The 5.0% single-bar shock reminds us that tail events cannot be predicted but can be managed through prudent capital allocation and a clear-eyed acceptance of market uncertainty.