Copper Historical Replay: 2014-11 to 2015-05
Replay 122 daily bars from 2014-11-17 to 2015-05-13 as copper unwound through a steep 19.0% drawdown. Walk through 21 decision points, defend each call against the tape, and receive an AI coach review of your reasoning in this simulated training environment.
122 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2014-11 to 2015-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 177 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 19.0% and a 19.4% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −19.0%
- Max run-up
- +19.4%
- Duration
- 177 days
- Largest single-day move
- −4.9%
- Bars
- 122 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Copper markets entering late 2014 faced a confluence of headwinds: weakening Chinese manufacturing data, a strengthening US dollar, and expanding mine supply from new projects in Peru and Africa. The period from November 2014 through May 2015 became a real-time laboratory for understanding how industrial metals behave when the growth narrative reverses. What was at stake was not just capital preservation but the ability to maintain analytical discipline when fundamentals shift and momentum accelerates against existing positions.
Over 122 daily bars from 2014-11-17 to 2015-05-13, copper prices moved from 3.05 to 2.95, delivering a net return of -3.3% that masks a far more turbulent journey beneath the surface. The market experienced a maximum drawdown of 19.0% during this span, with the largest single-bar move reaching 4.9%. Participants faced 21 decision points across the replay, of which 7 were flagged as critical moments where directional conviction was most severely tested. The disconnect between modest headline performance and severe interim losses created the essential tension that makes this scenario valuable for decision training.
This replay forces participants to confront the gap between percentage moves and actual risk in dollar terms, a distinction that often gets obscured during volatile periods. The 19.0% drawdown teaches that surviving a drawdown requires not just position sizing discipline but psychological endurance when being right on fundamentals does not translate into being right on timing. Seven critical decision points scattered across five months provide repeated opportunities to practice defending calls against the tape, building the kind of conviction that separates disciplined traders from those who capitulate at the worst moments. The goal is not to predict the bottom but to develop a repeatable process that remains defensible regardless of outcome.