Copper Historical Replay: 2014-10 to 2015-04
Replay copper's slide from October 2014 to April 2015 across 122 daily bars, watching a 20.6% max drawdown unfold. Make your own choices at 21 decision points—7 critical—then review each call with the AI coach in this simulated training replay.
122 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2014-10 to 2015-04 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 179 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 20.6% and a 14.2% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −20.6%
- Max run-up
- +14.2%
- Duration
- 179 days
- Largest single-day move
- −4.9%
- Bars
- 122 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The replay transports traders back to the commodity markets of late 2014, when copper began a sustained descent that would define the early phase of a broader raw-materials bear cycle. Over 122 daily bars spanning October 16, 2014 to April 13, 2015, participants navigate what became a textbook study in trend deterioration. The scenario immerses learners in the specific decision environment of the era—watching macro headwinds build while prices ground lower—without the benefit of hindsight.
The numbers reveal the gravity of the move: copper finished the period at 2.74, down 8.1% from an opening print near 2.98. The maximum drawdown reached 20.6%, underscoring how sustained selling can exceed headline percentage declines. A single session produced a 4.9% swing, the largest intrabar volatility event in the dataset. These figures illustrate why trend-following discipline and drawdown management are not abstract concepts but survival necessities in commodity markets.
The scenario's 21 decision points—7 flagged as critical—test a trader's ability to distinguish temporary setbacks from structural breaks. Participants must confront the psychological pull to average down, the temptation to call a bottom prematurely, and the discipline required to manage risk when the macro backdrop offers no clear support. This historical replay sharpens the decision-making process by grounding it in a real market episode where judgment under uncertainty determined outcomes.