Coffee Historical Replay: 2020-07 to 2020-10
Replay 84 daily bars of pandemic-era coffee from July through October 2020, when the contract edged from 103.05 to 105 with a 22.7% drawdown. Walk through 15 decision points, including 5 critical ones, and get an AI coach review of each call. Simulated capital only.
84 daily bars · 15 decision points · 2020-07 to 2020-10 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 119 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 22.7% and a 40.5% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −22.7%
- Max run-up
- +40.5%
- Duration
- 119 days
- Largest single-day move
- +7.8%
- Bars
- 84 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 15
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The coffee market during the summer and fall of 2020 presented traders with a study in contrasts. Replaying 84 daily bars from July 1 to October 28, 2020, participants entered a market shaped by pandemic-era uncertainty where supply chains tightened and demand patterns shifted unpredictably. The scenario offered 15 decision points, including 5 marked as critical nodes, against which traders could test their analytical instincts and risk discipline—all with simulated capital, purely for historical learning.
The contract closed at 105, inching up from 103.05 for a modest 1.9% gain over the full span. Beneath that tame headline number lay a turbulent journey: the maximum drawdown reached 22.7%, and the largest single trading day saw a 7.8% move. Those who focused only on the flat net return would have missed the true nature of this market—a series of sharp reversals and sudden spikes that demanded constant reassessment.
The episode underscores that net price change rarely tells the full story. Navigating a 22.7% drawdown tests conviction and position sizing; absorbing a 7.8% intraday swing challenges emotional control. This historical window rewards those who separate process from outcome, who manage risk when equity is under pressure, and who stay psychologically grounded when the next bar could be the largest move of the period. It remains a potent training ground for anyone studying how markets actually behave under stress.