US National (FHFA, 1975Q1+) Historical Replay: 2006-04 to 2013-07
Replay the US housing market collapse of 2006 to 2013, when prices fell 12.5% from peak to trough. Across 30 monthly decision points you navigate the downturn day by day, then receive an AI coach review of each choice in a simulated training environment.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2006-04 to 2013-07 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 19.0% with a 5.7% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −19.0%
- Max run-up
- +5.7%
- Largest single-month move
- −3.1%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The US housing market entered a defining stress test between April 2006 and July 2013, a period that captured the most severe residential property downturn since the Great Depression. For those managing property assets or studying financial history, this era represented a fundamental challenge to assumptions about real estate as a stable store of value. Across 30 monthly decision points spanning the 2000s and 2010s, participants navigated an environment where conventional wisdom about housing prices was being systematically dismantled.
The market closed the period at 325.59, down from an opening reference of 372.01—a peak-to-trough decline of 12.5%. The trajectory was not smooth: maximum drawdown reached 19.0%, and the largest single monthly move measured 3.1%. These figures understate the psychological weight of sustained monthly pressure over multiple years, with each decision point arriving against a backdrop of continuing decline rather than a single dramatic shock.
This replay sharpens decision training by placing participants inside the chronology of an unfolding crisis. Six decision points, including two marked as critical, demand that learners practice position sizing, emotional discipline, and probabilistic thinking under conditions where the dominant trend worked against optimism. The lesson is not about predicting bottoms but about building repeatable processes that survive environments where even well-reasoned positions suffer sustained pressure.
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