RBOB Gasoline Historical Replay: 2014-05 to 2014-08
Replay the 2014 RBOB gasoline summer as a 13.1% drawdown unfolds across 64 daily bars. Step into 11 decision points, including 4 critical calls, and receive an AI coach review of each choice in a simulated training environment.
64 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2014-05 to 2014-08 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 91 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 13.1% and a 7.9% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −13.1%
- Max run-up
- +7.9%
- Duration
- 91 days
- Largest single-day move
- −3.2%
- Bars
- 64 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The RBOB gasoline market entered the summer of 2014 at a critical juncture. Oil prices had recently touched $115 per barrel, and the energy complex faced mounting uncertainty as demand patterns shifted and supply dynamics evolved. For traders and risk managers, the May-to-August window represented a high-stakes training ground where positioning decisions could mean the difference between capturing momentum and absorbing significant losses. This scenario places participants directly into that environment, demanding choices as the market revealed its direction.
Over the 64 trading days from May 7 to August 6, 2014, the RBOB gasoline contract declined from $2.92 to $2.74, a drop of 6.2%. The journey was anything but smooth—participants would have faced a maximum drawdown of 13.1% and the psychological pressure of a 3.2% single-bar move that could unsettle even seasoned practitioners. The 11 decision points, including 4 critical moments, transformed a simple trend-following exercise into a nuanced test of risk calibration and emotional discipline.
This replay teaches that headline percentages rarely capture the lived experience of a trade. A seemingly modest -6.2% outcome can feel entirely different when 13.1% of capital is at risk before recovery arrives. Participants sharpen three skills: sizing positions against realistic adverse moves, maintaining conviction when short-term losses accumulate, and distinguishing noise from signal. The 2010s energy boom context adds urgency—understanding how momentum turns is as valuable as recognizing when it begins.
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