USD/RUB Historical Replay: 2022-01 to 2022-05
Replay the 2022 USD/RUB shock, when the ruble's close fell from 79.1996 to 66.465 over 88 daily bars. Step through each trading day, face 15 decision points, and receive AI coach feedback on your simulated choices.
88 daily bars · 15 decision points · 2022-01 to 2022-05 · Forex
Key facts
This window spans 122 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 58.9% and a 86.0% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −58.9%
- Max run-up
- +86.0%
- Duration
- 122 days
- Largest single-day move
- +28.1%
- Bars
- 88 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 15
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
This scenario replays the USD/RUB pair across 88 daily bars from January 27, 2022 to May 29, 2022—a period when geopolitical tensions erupted into open conflict. The market at stake was the ruble, an emerging-market currency whose valuation reflected not just economic fundamentals but the threat of sweeping international sanctions. Participants enter this high-stakes environment facing 15 decision points, 5 of them marked as critical junctures where directional conviction and risk calibration were put to the test. The era was the 2020s, and the lesson was being written in real time.
The ruble's journey across these 88 days was anything but linear. It opened at 79.1996 and closed at 66.465, delivering a net appreciation of -16.1% for the dollar side of the trade. Yet that aggregate figure conceals the true character of the period: a maximum drawdown of 58.9% tested any assumption about near-term stability, while the largest single-bar move of 28.1% demonstrated how quickly sentiment could flip in a sanction-exposed currency. Volatility was not a temporary disturbance—it was the dominant feature.
This replay teaches that process matters more than prediction in dislocated markets. Risk management must account for drawdowns that seem implausible until they arrive, and position sizing should survive the largest expected gap. Psychologically, the scenario rewards traders who distinguish between signal and noise, maintain discipline through extreme daily swings, and resist the urge to extrapolate recent moves indefinitely. The 2022 USD/RUB episode is a case study in humility: even directionally correct views can be destroyed by unmanaged volatility.
Featured in the archive