Phoenix Historical Replay: 2021-12 to 2024-05
Replay Phoenix housing from December 2021 through May 2024, watching prices climb 8.4% before a 10.6% drawdown reshaped the market. You will navigate 30 monthly bars, face 6 decision points, and receive an AI coach review after each replay, all with simulated capital.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2021-12 to 2024-05 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 10.6% with a 13.6% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −10.6%
- Max run-up
- +13.6%
- Largest single-month move
- +3.0%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Phoenix's housing market in late 2021 was riding extraordinary pandemic-era momentum as prices reached historic highs in this Southwestern sunbelt city. The 30-month replay spanning December 2021 through May 2024 captures a critical transition period where post-pandemic exuberance met the Federal Reserve's aggressive tightening campaign. Participants navigate this historically significant window, understanding how monetary policy shifts and local market dynamics intersected to reshape one of America's most volatile housing markets.
The replay data reveals a nuanced price trajectory: starting at 302.33, the Phoenix market climbed before experiencing a 10.6% drawdown—the largest pullback in the observed period. Despite this volatility, the 30-month journey concluded with an 8.4% overall gain, closing at 327.82. The market's largest single-month move of 3.0% underscores the significant volatility that characterized this period, highlighting the tension between demand fundamentals and macroeconomic headwinds.
The Phoenix replay teaches critical lessons in volatility management and long-term perspective. Navigating a 10.6% drawdown while maintaining an 8.4% overall gain requires disciplined position sizing, clear pre-commitment to risk parameters, and emotional resilience when facing paper losses. The scenario's 6 decision points—2 marked as critical—force participants to practice calibration under uncertainty, distinguishing between market noise and meaningful trend shifts. This historical snapshot demonstrates that even within a broadly positive market, drawdowns demand strategic response rather than reactive emotion.
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