Consumer Disc SPDR Uptrend Replay (2025-04-21 to 2025-09-16)
Replay a 19.0% Consumer Discretionary ETF uptrend across 150 daily bars and decide where you would have acted. Step through the chart day-by-day, tackle 11 decision points with AI coach review on simulated capital.
150 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2025-03 to 2025-10 · Stocks
Key facts
This window spans 214 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 14.4% and a 37.3% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −14.4%
- Max run-up
- +37.3%
- Duration
- 214 days
- Largest single-day move
- +10.9%
- Bars
- 150 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY) entered a pronounced uptrend across 150 daily bars spanning March to October 2025, placing traders in one of the decade's defining sector rotation plays. Navigating a 19.0% advance required more than recognizing the trend—it demanded disciplined execution through 11 decision points, four of which proved critical to outcomes. The scenario tests whether participants could stay engaged, manage risk, and act decisively when the momentum invited either overconfidence or hesitation.
The price journey from 98.5 to 117.21 delivered a solid 19.0% return, yet the path was far from straight. A max drawdown of 14.4% tested any position sizing assumptions, while the largest single-bar move of 10.9% demanded composure during sudden reversals. Those who treated this as a simple buy-and-hold exercise missed the tactical dimension—each decision point offered a chance to improve entries, adjust exposure, or lock in gains before the next pullback reshaped the landscape.
This replay ultimately measures process over prediction. The drawdown reminds us that no uptrend advances monotonically; managing risk means accepting temporary losses. The volatile single-bar swings underscore that market noise can shake conviction, making documented rules essential. Eleven decision points across 150 bars also reveal how much of trading is waiting for the right moment and having the discipline to act when it arrives. For trainees, the lesson is clear: survival in trending markets comes from a repeatable system, not from hoping the trend continues.
Featured in the archive