Consumer Disc SPDR Downtrend Replay (2022-02-09 to 2022-02-23)
Replay a 13.7% drawdown in the Consumer Discretionary SPDR across 30 daily bars from 2022-01-25 to 2022-03-08. Walk through seven decision points, tackle three critical calls, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
30 daily bars · 7 decision points · 2022-01 to 2022-03 · Stocks
Key facts
This window spans 42 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 13.7% and a 8.5% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −13.7%
- Max run-up
- +8.5%
- Duration
- 42 days
- Largest single-day move
- −4.9%
- Bars
- 30 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 7
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY) entered a correction phase in early 2022, a period when rising interest rates and persistent inflation concerns weighed heavily on growth-oriented sectors. This replay spans 30 daily bars from January 25 to March 8, 2022, tasking participants with navigating a sustained downtrend while managing risk across seven decision points — three of which are critical inflection moments that could determine whether a strategy survives or deteriorates.
The ETF declined from 89.75 to 81.76, representing an 8.9% loss. More instructive was the maximum drawdown of 13.7%, indicating that interim losses exceeded the final closing loss. Volatility was punctuated by a largest single-bar move of 4.9%, highlighting how sharp intraday reversals can challenge both trend-following and mean-reversion approaches during a correction.
This scenario sharpens decision-making under uncertainty, particularly around position sizing when drawdowns approach historical norms. The three critical calls require balancing conviction against deteriorating momentum. The psychological dimension — managing the pressure of watching losses accumulate — often proves more challenging than the analytical framework itself. Process discipline and emotional resilience become inseparable in determining whether simulated outcomes improve over repeated attempts.