Consumer Disc SPDR Downtrend Replay (2020-02-20 to 2020-03-09)
Replay a 30-bar stretch where the Consumer Discretionary SPDR fell 29.8% from 64.43 to 45.25. You step through each daily decision point, face 7 forks including 3 critical ones, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
30 daily bars · 7 decision points · 2020-02 to 2020-03 · Stocks
Key facts
This window spans 42 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 33.9% and a 6.2% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −33.9%
- Max run-up
- +6.2%
- Duration
- 42 days
- Largest single-day move
- −12.7%
- Bars
- 30 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 7
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In early 2020, the Consumer Discretionary SPDR faced a pivotal moment as COVID-19 concerns began reshaping market expectations. This replay spans 30 trading days from February 6 to March 19, placing you inside a sector ETF that had become a focal point of shifting investor sentiment. The stakes were clear: navigate a period where traditional assumptions about consumer spending were being rapidly reassessed.
The numbers tell the story of an accelerating correction. XLY fell from 64.43 to 45.25, a decline of 29.8%. The maximum drawdown reached 33.9%, with volatility spiking to include a single-day move of 12.7%. Across these 30 bars, you encountered 7 decision points, 3 of which the framework marks as critical forks where direction could diverge significantly. Each day presented a fresh test of timing, sizing, and conviction.
This scenario sharpens decision training on multiple fronts. Process discipline matters when momentum swings violently; waiting for confirmation versus acting preemptively becomes a daily calculation. Risk management takes center stage as position sizing and stop logic face real stress tests. Perhaps most valuable is the psychology layer: the gap between intellectual recognition of a trend and emotional acceptance under drawdown pressure. This replay does not simulate what should have been bought or sold, but rather how decisions unfold when certainty dissolves and every choice carries consequence.