Cocoa Historical Replay: 2023-05 to 2023-08
Replay 60 daily cocoa bars from the 2023 debt-ceiling crisis window as close climbs 11.8% to 3366. Step through each session, navigate 4 critical decision points, and receive AI coach feedback on your choices in a simulated market.
60 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2023-05 to 2023-08 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 86 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 7.9% and a 19.1% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −7.9%
- Max run-up
- +19.1%
- Duration
- 86 days
- Largest single-day move
- −4.1%
- Bars
- 60 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The scene takes place in commodity markets during the 2023 debt-ceiling crisis window. Cocoa, a soft commodity traded in US markets, became a lens through which traders could observe how external macroeconomic uncertainty—specifically around US fiscal policy—interacts with daily commodity pricing. The period from late May through mid-August 2023 coincided with heightened political negotiations over the US debt ceiling, creating a backdrop of systemic uncertainty that could ripple across asset classes.
Over 60 trading days spanning 2023-05-24 to 2023-08-18, cocoa prices climbed from 3010 to 3366, representing an 11.8% gain. The path was not linear—the market experienced a maximum drawdown of 7.9% and volatility was punctuated by single sessions moving as much as 4.1%. Within this trajectory, participants faced 11 decision points, 4 of which were deemed critical, forcing traders to navigate periods of sharp directional shifts and psychological pressure.
This replay sharpens the ability to maintain disciplined decision processes when facing external crises that could trigger erratic price behavior. The 7.9% drawdown and 4.1% single-bar swings test whether traders can stick to their plans without succumbing to panic or greed. The 4 critical decision points specifically challenge participants to recognize when market conditions demand a recalibration of risk exposure, reinforcing that effective risk management and psychological resilience are essential when navigating volatile commodity markets during macroeconomic uncertainty.