Cotton Historical Replay: 2020-03 to 2020-06
Replay 62 daily bars of US cotton from March to June 2020, when the price climbed 16.4% off the pandemic low. Step through 11 decision points, including 4 critical junctures, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
62 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2020-03 to 2020-06 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 87 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 9.4% and a 27.6% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −9.4%
- Max run-up
- +27.6%
- Duration
- 87 days
- Largest single-day move
- +5.6%
- Bars
- 62 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The covid-19 pandemic struck global commodity markets in early 2020, creating historic volatility across soft commodities. US cotton, traded daily, faced collapsing demand as textile mills shuttered and supply chains froze. This replay covers 62 daily bars from March 24 to June 19, 2020, placing you in the cockpit as prices navigated from pandemic lows toward an unexpected recovery, with 11 decision points embedded throughout to test your instincts.
The numbers tell a story of whipsaw uncertainty. Cotton closed at 52.89 at the start of the period and climbed to 61.56 by the end, a 16.4% recovery over roughly three months. Yet the path was treacherous: the maximum drawdown reached 9.4%, and the largest single-day swing hit 5.6%, creating multiple false breakouts and emotional traps. Four of the eleven decision moments were designated critical, forcing participants to commit capital under pressure with incomplete information.
This scenario sharpens three essential muscles for traders. First, it demands disciplined risk management when drawdowns strike without warning. Second, it tests emotional discipline through single-bar spikes that could trigger panic or euphoria. Third, it rewards those who follow a process rather than chasing headlines, since the pandemic narrative shifted daily. By replaying these bars and facing the same forks in the road, traders build muscle memory for real market conditions where certainty never arrives.
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