Coffee Historical Replay: 2020-03 to 2020-06
Replay coffee futures from March to June 2020 as a 25.4% slide unfolded under pandemic stress. Step through 62 daily bars and 11 decision points to practice your reads with an AI coach review, simulated.
62 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2020-03 to 2020-06 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 87 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 27.9% and a 6.2% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −27.9%
- Max run-up
- +6.2%
- Duration
- 87 days
- Largest single-day move
- −7.1%
- Bars
- 62 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The scenario immerses traders in the soft commodities market during the spring of 2020, when the COVID-19 pandemic shattered assumptions about global demand and supply logistics. Coffee futures, traditionally a steadier corner of the commodity complex, suddenly faced a cascade of uncertainty as lockdown measures reshaped consumption patterns and disrupted transportation routes. The period from March 24 to June 19, 2020 presented participants with a stark test of their ability to read shifting market dynamics and maintain discipline when familiar reference points dissolved.
The price trajectory across 62 daily bars tells a story of sustained pressure: Arabica coffee fell from 125.6 to 93.75, a decline of -25.4%. Yet the headline number understates the turbulence beneath the surface. The maximum drawdown reached 27.9%, meaning anyone holding a position through the period would have watched their equity eroding far beyond the final settlement. The largest single-bar move of 7.1% injected sudden shocks into what was already a grinding downtrend, creating moments where rational decision-making became acutely difficult. Across these bars, traders encountered 11 decision points, 4 of which the scenario flags as critical junctures where positioning and responses could diverge outcomes significantly.
This replay teaches that process discipline matters more than directional conviction. The 27.9% maximum drawdown drills home the necessity of position sizing and pre-defined exit triggers, while the 7.1% single-bar spike tests whether a trader can avoid panic-driven adjustments during momentary dislocations. Navigating 11 decision points, including 4 critical ones, offers repeated practice in calibrating risk appetite against evolving market signals. The psychological dimension proves equally vital: maintaining composure when a -25.4% decline unfolds in real time separates those who extract lessons from those who simply experience the loss. This scenario rewards participants who approach each bar with structured inquiry rather than reactive impulse.
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