Cocoa Historical Replay: 2020-03 to 2020-06
Replay the cocoa market from March to June 2020 across 62 daily bars where prices climbed from 2275 to 2387 amid pandemic volatility. Make your own calls at 11 decision points and receive AI coach review on each simulated trade.
62 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2020-03 to 2020-06 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 87 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 8.5% and a 13.1% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −8.5%
- Max run-up
- +13.1%
- Duration
- 87 days
- Largest single-day move
- +6.4%
- Bars
- 62 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The first quarter of 2020 delivered a global health crisis that disrupted commodity markets in ways not seen in generations. Cocoa, a soft commodity traded in US markets, faced unprecedented uncertainty as pandemic restrictions threatened supply chains, demand patterns, and market liquidity. Against this backdrop, the period from late March through mid-June 2020 represented a critical test of how traders navigate markets during systemic shock.
Over the 62 trading days from March 24 to June 19, 2020, cocoa prices rose from 2275 to 2387, a gain of 4.9%. Yet the journey was far from smooth. The market experienced a maximum drawdown of 8.5%, testing the conviction of anyone holding positions through the turbulence. A single session saw a 6.4% swing, the kind of move that separates disciplined traders from reactive ones. Across this volatile stretch, traders confronted 11 decision points, including 4 critical moments demanding decisive action.
This historical episode offers a rich training ground for decision-making under pressure. The disconnect between the modest 4.9% net gain and the 8.5% drawdown teaches that outcomes and decisions are not the same thing. Participants learn to evaluate their choices by process rather than by results, building the habits that sustain performance across uncertain conditions. The scenario challenges traders to manage risk, maintain discipline when volatility spikes, and stay psychologically grounded when market narrative shifts rapidly. Mastery here is not about predicting direction but about surviving the noise and emerging with one's methodology intact.
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