Cocoa Historical Replay: 2020-01 to 2020-06
Relive a turbulent 86-day cocoa window where prices fell 8.6% and a 26.2% drawdown tested every decision. You replay the market day by day, navigate 15 decision points, and receive an AI coach review in a simulated training environment.
86 daily bars · 15 decision points · 2020-01 to 2020-06 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 124 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 26.2% and a 13.1% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −26.2%
- Max run-up
- +13.1%
- Duration
- 124 days
- Largest single-day move
- +6.4%
- Bars
- 86 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 15
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In early 2020, the soft commodities markets faced an unprecedented test as pandemic concerns began reshaping global demand patterns. Cocoa, traded in Chinese commodity markets, found itself caught in this unfolding crisis. The period from January 29 to June 1, 2020 represented 86 daily trading bars where traders confronted a rapidly evolving landscape with no clear historical precedent to guide them. Every position taken during this window carried the weight of genuine uncertainty about how the outbreak would affect supply chains, consumption habits, and market liquidity.
Cocoa prices retreated from 2727 to 2493 over this span, a decline of -8.6%. Yet the headline number obscures the true nature of the challenge: a maximum drawdown of 26.2% tested the resolve of even seasoned participants, while the largest single-bar move of 6.4% demonstrated that volatility could strike without warning. Across these 86 days, traders encountered 15 decision points, with 5 deemed critical to outcome. The gap between entry price and eventual settlement tells only part of the story; the emotional and strategic toll of navigating such swings defines the real test.
This replay session strips away hindsight bias to focus on decision process under genuine uncertainty. Participants must grapple with position sizing when drawdowns can reach 26.2%, timing entries around volatile single-day swings, and maintaining discipline when the path from 2727 to 2493 meanders through treacherous intermediate waters. The value lies not in predicting the outcome but in building the habits of careful analysis, measured risk, and psychological resilience that serve traders across any market condition.
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