Cocoa Historical Replay: 2016-10 to 2017-01
Replay the 2016 cocoa market across 64 daily bars, watching prices slide from 2787 toward a 23.7% drawdown. You step through each session, make 11 decisions including 4 critical ones, then receive an AI coach review of your reasoning in this simulated training exercise.
64 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2016-10 to 2017-01 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 96 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 23.7% and a 6.7% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −23.7%
- Max run-up
- +6.7%
- Duration
- 96 days
- Largest single-day move
- −4.6%
- Bars
- 64 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The scene transports you to the cocoa futures market in the autumn of 2016, a period when the soft commodities sector faced mounting uncertainty. Over the span from October 6, 2016 to January 10, 2017, you will navigate through 64 daily bars of authentic price action. As prices begin their descent from 2787, the stakes are clear: this is a test of how you manage capital under sustained downward pressure, with a 23.7% maximum drawdown looming as the scenario unfolds across 11 decision points, including 4 critical junctures that demand your sharpest judgment.
What unfolds is a steady erosion of value, with cocoa prices ultimately closing at 2207, representing a 20.8% decline over the period. The market did not collapse in a single day but ground steadily lower, punctuated by volatile sessions where single-bar moves reached 4.6%. Navigating this environment required traders to absorb mounting losses while constantly reassessing whether the downtrend had further to run or was approaching a reversal point.
This replay teaches the discipline of staying process-oriented when positions move against you. The drawdown of 23.7% was not a single event but a cumulative result of daily decisions, each carrying risk management implications. Participants learn that surviving a prolonged decline demands emotional control, strict position sizing, and the humility to question whether your original thesis remains valid. The 4 critical decision points serve as pressure tests for your psychological resilience, reminding you that the greatest enemy in a bear market is often your own reluctance to adapt.