Coffee Historical Replay: 2015-11 to 2016-04
Replay 100 daily bars of coffee from 2015-11 to 2016-04, capturing an 11.9% drawdown against a shifting dollar. Step through each session, face 17 decision points including 6 critical ones, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated calls.
100 daily bars · 17 decision points · 2015-11 to 2016-04 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 147 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 11.9% and a 20.7% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −11.9%
- Max run-up
- +20.7%
- Duration
- 147 days
- Largest single-day move
- +6.3%
- Bars
- 100 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 17
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The coffee market entered a volatile chapter as the 2010s progressed into late 2015, set against a pivotal shift in U.S. monetary policy. Between November 9, 2015, and April 4, 2016, 100 daily bars of price action unfolded as traders digested the Federal Reserve's December 2015 rate decision and its implications for a strong dollar environment. This historical replay places you inside those sessions, where currency dynamics and commodity sentiment clashed. The stakes were clear: navigating a policy-driven landscape where every bar carried the weight of macroeconomic uncertainty.
The numbers tell a story of modest recovery against a backdrop of turbulence. Coffee closed the period at 122.8, rising 4.3% from an opening of 117.75. Yet that headline figure obscures an 11.9% maximum drawdown along the way. The largest single-bar move of 6.3% captured moments when sentiment shifted violently, testing the resolve of anyone caught on the wrong side. Across the 100 daily bars, 17 decision points emerged, with 6 deemed critical moments that could have defined outcomes for position holders.
This replay is a laboratory for process, risk, and psychology. With 6 critical junctures embedded among 17 total decision points, participants must practice structured responses rather than reactive guesses. The 11.9% drawdown illustrates how even a winning net result requires surviving periods of adverse variation. The 6.3% intrabar shock reminds us that volatility arrives without warning, demanding pre-committed risk limits. Above all, the scenario trains emotional discipline: staying systematic when the dollar flexes its influence and coffee prices swing unpredictably through the 2010s era of policy uncertainty.
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