Coffee Historical Replay: 2015-06 to 2015-12
Replay the coffee market's 18.4% drawdown from June to December 2015 in 116 authentic daily bars. Step through each decision point, face 7 critical choices, and receive AI coach feedback in this simulated training environment.
116 daily bars · 20 decision points · 2015-06 to 2015-12 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 164 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 18.4% and a 19.1% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −18.4%
- Max run-up
- +19.1%
- Duration
- 164 days
- Largest single-day move
- +6.3%
- Bars
- 116 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 20
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In the summer of 2015, the global coffee market faced mounting pressures as China's economic slowdown and a surprise RMB devaluation in August rattled commodity investors. The 2010s were already proving challenging for soft commodities, with demand uncertainty and currency volatility creating turbulent trading conditions. This scenario immerses traders in 116 authentic daily bars spanning June 29 to December 10, 2015, placing them at the center of a market navigating structural uncertainty and policy-driven shocks.
The numbers tell a story of sustained pressure: prices fell from 130.8 to 122.65, a -6.2% closing decline, while the maximum drawdown hit an alarming 18.4%. A single trading day produced a 6.3% swing—the largest single-bar move—underscoring how quickly sentiment could reverse. Across the period, traders confronted 20 decision points, with 7 deemed critical moments that could have dramatically altered outcomes. These statistics illustrate a market under siege, where every trading choice carried significant consequence.
This replay teaches that surviving market downturns requires more than technical analysis—it demands psychological resilience and disciplined risk management. Facing 7 critical choices among 20 decision points trains traders to recognize when to hold positions and when to adapt. The scenario emphasizes position sizing, stress testing, and emotional control during periods of high volatility. Ultimately, navigating such turbulence separates disciplined traders from reactive ones, and this historical episode serves as a powerful training ground for developing that edge.