Cocoa Historical Replay: 2015-11 to 2016-04
Replay 100 daily bars of cocoa from late 2015 into early 2016, watching the close slide 10.5% from 3209 to 2871. You step through each session, face 17 decision points, and receive an AI coach review in a simulated environment.
100 daily bars · 17 decision points · 2015-11 to 2016-04 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 147 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 19.0% and a 12.9% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −19.0%
- Max run-up
- +12.9%
- Duration
- 147 days
- Largest single-day move
- −4.2%
- Bars
- 100 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 17
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The replay immerses you in cocoa's soft-commodity markets across the late 2015 to early 2016 stretch, a period when dollar strength and shifting monetary expectations weighed on dollar-denominated commodities. Over 100 daily bars from November 9, 2015 to April 4, 2016, participants track a sustained downward price trajectory in a simulated environment. The scenario presents 17 decision points—6 deemed critical—testing your ability to read evolving market signals under uncertainty.
The closing price eroded from 3209 to 2871, a 10.5% decline. The journey was anything but smooth: a maximum drawdown of 19.0% tested risk tolerance, while the largest single session move of 4.2% could have shaken less disciplined participants. Volatility was the defining characteristic, demanding both technical awareness and emotional composure.
For decision training, this replay underscores the importance of probabilistic thinking when facing a persistent downtrend. Risk management—knowing when to reduce exposure during deepening drawdowns—proves as crucial as entry timing. The psychological dimension surfaces when a 4.2% single-bar swing forces quick recalibration. Navigating 17 decision points across this stretch hones the skill of maintaining process discipline when the directional bias works against you.
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