Orange Juice Historical Replay: 2014-08 to 2015-01
Replay 104 daily bars of orange juice from 2014-08 to 2015-01, navigating an 18.7% drawdown across volatile sessions. You step through decision points day-by-day and receive an AI coach review of each call, with simulated capital only.
104 daily bars · 18 decision points · 2014-08 to 2015-01 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 153 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 18.7% and a 20.8% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −18.7%
- Max run-up
- +20.8%
- Duration
- 153 days
- Largest single-day move
- +5.5%
- Bars
- 104 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 18
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Orange juice futures during the 2014-08 to 2015-01 period presented traders with a study in deceptive calm. As part of the soft commodities complex, the market faced policy signals and weather variables that could shift supply expectations rapidly. Over 104 daily bars, participants navigated an environment where the headline return told only part of the story.
The contract opened at 145.8 and finished at 146.95, yielding a modest 0.8% net gain. Yet this tranquil endpoint concealed an 18.7% drawdown that developed across multiple sessions. The largest single-bar move of 5.5% demonstrated how quickly risk could crystallize. Across 18 decision points—6 of them flagged as critical—traders confronted moments where conviction and capital preservation intersected directly.
This replay underscores that survival during intermediate drawdowns often matters more than directional accuracy. The 18.7% max drawdown tests position sizing, stop discipline, and emotional equilibrium equally. Six critical junctures scattered across the period reveal that performance hinges on executing process during inflection points, not merely reading charts. Managing psychology when capital erodes proves foundational to longevity in any market.
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