Coffee Historical Replay: 2010-11 to 2011-05
Replay 122 daily bars of the 2010-11 to 2011-05 coffee surge, where prices climbed 35.0% before a 13.0% drawdown tested every chart-watcher. Walk through each session, face 21 decision points, and receive an AI coach review on your simulated reasoning.
122 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2010-11 to 2011-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 177 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 13.0% and a 52.9% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −13.0%
- Max run-up
- +52.9%
- Duration
- 177 days
- Largest single-day move
- −4.8%
- Bars
- 122 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
This replay immerses traders in one of the soft commodity market's most volatile chapters. Between November 2010 and May 2011, arabica coffee futures became a case study in supply-driven price action, as weather disruptions and inventory concerns swept through the market. Over 122 daily bars, participants navigate the full arc of a 35.0% surge that tested both trend-followers and counter-trend players, with a 13.0% drawdown punctuating the journey. Seven critical decision points separate disciplined execution from reactive guessing.
The price trajectory tells a story of compressed momentum. Starting from 199.45, coffee climbed steadily through early 2011, reaching 269.3—a 35.0% gain—before volatility struck. The 13.0% maximum drawdown emerged from a series of sharp reversals, with the largest single-bar move hitting 4.8%, creating treacherous conditions for position management. Those 21 decision points became pressure tests where entries, exits, and risk calibration determined whether participants captured the trend or got shaken out by the noise.
The scenario's greatest value lies in its psychological realism. Watching a 35.0% opportunity develop while managing a 13.0% setback forces traders to confront the gap between analysis and execution. The 4.8% single-bar volatility reminds us that even well-reasoned positions face sudden adverse moves. Decision training here emphasizes process discipline over outcome prediction, helping traders build habits that serve them across all market conditions.