Cotton Historical Replay: 2005-11 to 2006-05
Replay the 2005-11 to 2006-05 cotton boom across 124 daily bars, navigating a 15.2% drawdown and a sharp 6.3% single-session move. Make your own call at each of 21 decision points, then receive an AI coach review of your reasoning in this simulated, educational market replay.
124 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2005-11 to 2006-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 182 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 15.2% and a 18.9% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −15.2%
- Max run-up
- +18.9%
- Duration
- 182 days
- Largest single-day move
- +6.3%
- Bars
- 124 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The replay immerses you in the cotton market of the 2000s, a period when carry‑trade flows were reshaping commodity markets. Starting on 2005‑11‑14 and running through 2006‑05‑15, the scenario presents 124 daily bars with a series of decision points—21 in total, seven of which are flagged as critical—to test how you respond to a classic boom‑bust environment.
During the span, the contract moved from a close of 50.89 to 51.6, a net gain of only 1.4%. That modest rise, however, masks a volatile journey: the maximum drawdown reached 15.2%, and a single session saw a 6.3% swing, highlighting the kind of intraday spikes that can surprise even seasoned traders.
The episode is a practical laboratory for decision training. Navigating the drawdown forces disciplined position sizing and risk limits, while the large single‑bar move tests your ability to stay objective under sudden pressure. Facing 21 decision points, you must repeatedly assess whether to hold, adjust, or exit, sharpening both process and psychological resilience for future market turbulence.
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