Cocoa Historical Replay: 2005-11 to 2006-05
Replay a 124-day cocoa market window from 2005-11-14 to 2006-05-15 where prices climbed 12.3% amid a soft-commodity boom. Walk through each daily bar, face 21 decision points including 7 critical ones, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
124 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2005-11 to 2006-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 182 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 11.3% and a 20.4% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −11.3%
- Max run-up
- +20.4%
- Duration
- 182 days
- Largest single-day move
- −5.2%
- Bars
- 124 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In late 2005, the cocoa market entered a sustained uptrend that would define the first half of 2006. This 124-day replay window from November 14, 2005 to May 15, 2006 places you inside a classic soft-commodity boom, where bullish fundamentals met speculative momentum. Your task is to manage positions through 21 decision points—including 7 critical moments—without the benefit of hindsight.
The numbers reveal a nuanced story. Cocoa climbed 12.3% over the period, rising from 1327 to close at 1490, yet this was no smooth ascent. An 11.3% maximum drawdown tested even early conviction, while the largest single-bar move of 5.2% could have easily shaken a nervous trader into premature exit. The gap between headline return and actual trading experience is where this scenario reveals its educational value.
This replay sharpens three core competencies: reading price action within broader trends, sizing positions to withstand inevitable pullbacks, and maintaining emotional discipline when volatility spikes. The soft-commodity boom of the 2000s teaches that surviving drawdowns is often more important than capturing every upside move. Process over prediction, risk management over prediction, and psychological resilience over impulse—these are the habits this historical window is designed to build.
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