Cotton Historical Replay: 2004-11 to 2005-05
Replay the 2004-11 to 2005-05 cotton rally where futures climbed 22.6% from 44.91 to 55.08 across 122 daily bars. Walk through 21 decision points, face 7 critical ones, and receive an AI coach review of your choices in this simulated educational replay.
122 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2004-11 to 2005-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 178 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 13.7% and a 38.3% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −13.7%
- Max run-up
- +38.3%
- Duration
- 178 days
- Largest single-day move
- −6.2%
- Bars
- 122 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The cotton futures market at the close of 2004 offered traders a compelling case study in soft-commodity dynamics amid an inflationary backdrop. Spanning November 2004 to May 2005, this six-month period unfolded across 122 daily bars as participants grappled with evolving price pressures in the US cotton market. The 2000s era provided the setting for a re-inflation trade that would test both directional conviction and risk discipline.
The numbers tell a story of meaningful trend development: prices climbed from 44.91 to 55.08, delivering a 22.6% return over the replay window. Yet the path was anything but straight. A maximum drawdown of 13.7% meant that position holders faced meaningful interim losses requiring patience and conviction. The largest single-bar move of 6.2% captured the kind of volatile spikes that can quickly test stop-loss discipline or erode confidence in a held position.
This scenario serves as a rigorous decision-training vehicle. Participants must navigate 21 decision points, including 7 critical junctures where the directional and risk calls were most consequential. The replay isolates process over outcome: how did you manage position size during the drawdown? Did you add or reduce exposure at the critical inflection moments? AI coach review examines these choices through the lens of disciplined risk management and emotional control, making the historical context a laboratory for building better trading habits rather than simply reliving price action.
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