Palladium Historical Replay: 2018-07 to 2018-10
Replay 64 daily bars of the 2018 palladium market from July through October, when the close climbed from 962.1 to 1075.1. Step through each session, face 11 decision points, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
64 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2018-07 to 2018-10 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 88 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 12.2% and a 29.1% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −12.2%
- Max run-up
- +29.1%
- Duration
- 88 days
- Largest single-day move
- −5.9%
- Bars
- 64 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The palladium market entered the summer of 2018 carrying dual pressures: rising industrial demand tied to automotive production and broader market anxiety over emerging-market contagion. As trade tensions escalated globally, this precious metal—critical to catalytic converters—found itself caught between supply concerns and macroeconomic uncertainty. The period from July through October presented traders with a fluid situation where safe-haven flows and industrial fundamentals competed for price direction.
Stepping through 64 daily bars from July 9 to October 5, 2018, the replay captures palladium rising from 962.1 to 1075.1, an 11.7% advance. The journey proved far more turbulent than the net result suggests. A maximum drawdown of 12.2% tested any long positions held through the summer doldrums, while a single session delivered a 5.9% swing that could have devastated under-sized or over-leveraged accounts. Eleven decision points dot this replay, with four marked as critical junctions where directional conviction mattered most.
This scenario sharpens decision-making under ambiguity. The 12.2% drawdown forces reflection on position sizing and acceptance of interim losses within a larger thesis. The 5.9% single-bar move reveals how emotional reactions to volatility can override disciplined strategy. Traders learn to separate noise from signal, maintain conviction through reversals, and recognize that managing downside exposure matters more than capturing every upside move.