China National (Real Estate Climate Index, 1998+) Historical Replay: 2018-11 to 2021-04
Replay China's national property index across 30 months from 2018-11 to 2021-04, capturing a 4.4% drawdown and a sharp 2.9% single-bar move. Step through each monthly decision point and receive AI coach feedback in this simulated educational training.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2018-11 to 2021-04 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 4.4% with a 4.1% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −4.4%
- Max run-up
- +4.1%
- Largest single-month move
- −2.9%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
This replay examines China's national housing prosperity index across 30 months from 2018-11 to 2021-04, a period spanning the late 2010s into the early 2020s. The index serves as a broad measure of the property sector's momentum, and participants face six decision points, including two flagged as critical, while navigating a market where the stakes include understanding sector rotation dynamics and macroeconomic linkages. The era was marked by evolving policy signals and shifting sentiment toward real estate as an asset class.
Over the full data span, the index moved from 101.97 to 101.29, a net decline of -0.7%. A maximum drawdown of 4.4% tested risk tolerance, while the largest single monthly move of 2.9% demonstrated that even quiet markets can produce sharp spikes. The overall flatness masked volatility, creating a challenging environment for trend-following strategies and demanding careful interpretation of each data release.
This scenario sharpens decision-making around position sizing and drawdown thresholds. The compressed returns force a focus on process over outcome, reinforcing that well-structured risk management survives periods of limited opportunity. The psychology lesson is equally clear: staying disciplined when the market offers neither clear direction nor reward is harder than it appears, making this replay a valuable test of emotional composure under uncertainty.
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