Canada National (BIS) Historical Replay: 2013-07 to 2020-10
Replay a 71.6% climb across 30 monthly bars from July 2013 to October 2020 on the Canadian national index. Step through each historic day, face six decision points including two critical calls, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2013-07 to 2020-10 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 0.9% with a 71.6% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −0.9%
- Max run-up
- +71.6%
- Largest single-month move
- +6.7%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Between July 2013 and October 2020, the Canadian national property index embarked on a 71.6% climb across 30 monthly bars—a journey that tested participants through one of the country's most consequential housing policy experiments. The 2016 introduction of foreign buyer taxes in Vancouver and Toronto marked a watershed moment, representing a deliberate attempt to cool overheated metropolitan markets. For those replaying this era, six decision points awaited, two of them critical junctures where positioning would define outcomes. The stage was set for a collision between regulatory ambition and market resilience.
The index rose from 113.66 to 195.03 over the period, a gain of 71.6% delivered with remarkable smoothness. Maximum drawdown measured just 0.9%, and the largest single monthly move reached 6.7%—modest volatility given the policy fireworks. Participants who held through uncertainty were rewarded; those who reacted hastily to headlines may have found themselves repeatedly wrong-footed by a market that absorbed regulatory shocks with surprising grace.
This replay teaches that process matters more than prophecy. The foreign buyer tax episode demonstrates how markets can price in anticipated policy over extended periods, creating crowded trades that unwind violently when outcomes diverge. The 0.9% max drawdown reminds us that apparent stability can mask positioning risks. For decision training, the lesson is clear: resist narrative seduction, build probabilistic frameworks, and recognize that your psychology under uncertainty is the variable most in need of discipline.