China National (Real Estate Climate Index, 1998+) Historical Replay: 2017-04 to 2019-10
Replay 30 monthly bars from April 2017 to October 2019 as the national property index barely moves, gaining just 0.1% from 101.21 to 101.28. Walk through six decision points day-by-day, face two critical choices, and receive an AI coach review in this simulated training scenario.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2017-04 to 2019-10 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 1.4% with a 0.8% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −1.4%
- Max run-up
- +0.8%
- Largest single-month move
- −1.3%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The national property market entered a prolonged sideways phase after the wave of purchase restrictions and macro tightening in 2016. From April 2017 to October 2019, the market replay spans 30 monthly bars across the 2010s, with six decision points including two critical choices. The core challenge was navigating a market where policy signals were mixed and directional momentum had essentially evaporated.
Over the full period the index barely budged, rising just 0.1% from 101.21 to 101.28. The max drawdown was a modest 1.4% and the largest single-bar move measured just 1.3%. In percentage terms this was one of the quietest market segments in recent decades, yet participants still had to make real decisions at each monthly bar without the comfort of a clear trend to guide them.
The lasting lesson centers on process discipline when the market offers no easy answers. Students must learn to distinguish between a market that is coiling for a move and one that is simply in a low-conviction holding pattern. Six decision points and two critical junctures test whether trainees can manage risk, avoid overtrading, and maintain psychological equilibrium in a flat market. This scenario reminds us that the hardest decisions often occur not during dramatic crashes or rallies, but during periods of deceptive quiet.