Bulgaria National (BIS) Historical Replay: 2007-10 to 2015-01
Replay Bulgaria's national property market across a brutal 30-month stretch that erased 37.4% of value by 2015-01. Walk through 6 monthly decision points, including 2 critical moments with up to 12.0% swings, and receive an AI coach review of your choices in simulated capital.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2007-10 to 2015-01 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 45.3% with a 7.9% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −45.3%
- Max run-up
- +7.9%
- Largest single-month move
- −12.0%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Bulgaria's national property market entered a treacherous phase as the global financial crisis morphed into the European sovereign debt crisis. This 30-month replay, running from October 2007 to January 2015, captures a market under siege from collapsing demand, tightening credit and eroding consumer confidence. Participants stepping into this scenario face a market that has already begun its descent, with the full weight of a systemic downturn still ahead.
The numbers tell a brutal story. The market shed 37.4% of its value, closing at 87.69 from an opening reference of 140.18. Maximum drawdown hit 45.3%, meaning anyone caught on the wrong side of early positions would have watched nearly half their capital vanish at the worst point. Six monthly decision points mark this decline, with two critical junctures where single-month moves reached 12.0%—spikes that punish delayed reactions and reward those with pre-built contingency plans.
For decision training, this scenario forces confrontation with three core challenges. First, process discipline: large single-bar moves demand predetermined entry and exit rules that survive emotional pressure. Second, risk calibration: a 45.3% drawdown tests whether position sizing assumptions remain valid under prolonged stress. Third, psychological resilience: watching value erode month after month without abandoning a sound framework distinguishes trained decision-makers from impulsive ones. This replay offers no comfortable exits—only the opportunity to build habits that hold under fire.