UK National (BIS) Historical Replay: 2007-10 to 2015-01
Replay 30 months of the UK property crisis from October 2007, watching the index fall 16.4% through early 2015. Step through 6 decision points in simulated historical market conditions and receive an AI coach review of each choice.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2007-10 to 2015-01 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 25.0% with a 11.6% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −25.0%
- Max run-up
- +11.6%
- Largest single-month move
- −6.7%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The British property market entered the replay in October 2007 at a critical juncture. Over the following period spanning the 2000s and 2010s, participants navigate 30 monthly bars representing one of the most turbulent times for UK real estate. The global financial crisis that erupted in 2007 fundamentally challenged property valuations, and this replay captures the essence of that uncertainty—where decisions made under pressure could determine whether capital was preserved or severely eroded.
The index closed at 120.42 at the start of the replay and fell to 100.72 by January 2015, representing a decline of 16.4%. However, the damage was more severe between those endpoints: the maximum drawdown reached 25.0%, and volatility manifested in individual monthly moves as large as 6.7%. Six decision points were embedded throughout, with two deemed critical moments where positioning could substantially alter portfolio outcomes. The market did not fall in a straight line—participants faced whipsaws, false recoveries, and prolonged uncertainty that tested conviction.
This replay teaches the importance of process over prediction. Facing a 25.0% peak-to-trough decline tests both risk management discipline and emotional control. The largest single-bar moves of 6.7% reveal how sudden sentiment shifts can punish those without pre-defined exit strategies. Decision training here centers on building frameworks that account for extended drawdowns, avoiding the trap of averaging down in deteriorating conditions, and recognizing that surviving volatility is a prerequisite for capital preservation. The goal is developing consistent decision-making processes that perform reliably across different market environments.